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Bukalong Pasture Forecast

Last update: 3 days ago
Provided by CSIRO

GrassGro Farm System Model

Livestock

Enterprise

Self replacing Merino flock (45kg mature ewe weight)

Lambing/Weaning

11 Sept / 15 Dec

Ewe Replacements & Wethers

Ewe replacements enter main flock on 2 Jan around 16 months of age. Surplus young ewes are sold at 15 months of age (Dec). Wethers are retained for another year and sold between May and July.

Annual DSE Rating

9.8 dse/ha
Environment

Pasture

Phalaris, tall fescue, white clover and sub clover

Soil type

Soil Fertility

Good

Elevation

740m

Climate

Based on SILO Gridded data (last 30 years).

Projected green herbage available relative to historic variation

KEY
HISTORIC
Current Growth
(modelled)
11kg/ha/day
Summary
  • Currently tracking in bottom 10% of years on record
  • Poor conditions until November 04 will result in pasture availability in the bottom 10% of years on record
  • Average conditions will see pasture availability in the top 50% of years on record
  • Really good conditions will see pasture availability in the top 25% of years on record

Plant available soil water (modelled)

Current PAW
(3 day average)
68mm
Summary
  • Plant available water (calculated as an average over the last 3 days) represents water held across the entire pasture root zone
  • At this time of year, for the wettest 10% of cases the soil has held 59mm or more and is currently holding 68mm
  • Currently the PAW is wet relative to historic variation

Ground Cover

KEY
Current Ground Cover
74%
Chance of falling below the minimum ground cover target
(if no changes are made)
0%
Summary
  • Ground cover should be managed carefully and maintained at over critical level of 70% to prevent erosion
  • Current ground cover of 74% is greater than the minimum ground cover target
  • There is a low risk (0% chance) of dropping below this level

Female Condition Score

There is no condition score data available at this time.

Stock Weight

KEY
Summary
  • Potential liveweight of weaned male progeny from the forecast pasture levels

Feeding Projections for Weaners

There is no feeding projection data available at this time.

Total Supplement Fed

KEY
Summary
  • The probability of the total supplement fed in the three month forecast period exceeding the value shown on the horizontal axis (kg/head) for the 3 age groups of females
  • There is a 30% chance of needing to supply feed to maidens, a 100% chance for mature females and a 100% chance for weaner females